The first Chinese orbital station automatic “Tiangong-1” will descend from orbit and fall to Earth in the period from 31 March to 4 April, 2018. According to representatives of the Chinese space Agency, the fall is uncontrolled, and therefore where exactly the station will be in the fall, experts say a loss.
According to preliminary calculations, the fall zone of the station is indicated between 42.8 degrees North latitude and 42.8 degrees South latitude, this means that a potential drop can be Africa, southern Europe, the middle East or Southeast Asia. Can she be in Russia, it may well be that the place will fall Dagestan. Scientists believe that the risk to the environment and people is minimal, as most of the station will burn up in the atmosphere, and the remaining part, if they reach the Earth’s surface, a serious threat to present clearly will not.
Holger Krag, head of the office dealing with the tracking of space debris at the European space Agency, also said that for a person very small chance of injury from falling debris of the station.
“Usually from 20 to 40 percent larger objects can reach the Ground, but they still get destroyed by the fall, and the probability of injury from falling such a chip is comparable to the chance of being struck by lightning twice a year” — soothes the crag.
First, the Chinese space Agency has suggested that the “Tiangong-1” will burn in the Earth’s atmosphere at the end of 2017, but later calculations showed that the station will cease to exist in the spring of 2018.
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